Lets make a deal

Try this one on your mates... it's always a good one for an argument (Even after you've attempted to explain the answer)

Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors:

Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say number 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say number 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, ``Do you want to pick door number 2?''

Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?

Does it matter if you change your mind?

No, you're left with a 50/50 chance of getting a goat or the car.

but what if you prefered the goat to the car?

When you made your first choice you had a 1 in 3 chance of picking the right door but now you would have a 1 in 2 chance which is a big improvement. So, with your initial choice your are more than likely to have been wrong, by swapping you are just as likely to make the right choice as the wrong one. Using that logic, I'd say swap.

But, statistics and chance don't mix so it doesn't really matter, you're going to get the goat whatever.

Originally posted by tinajones

but what if you prefered the goat to the car?

:o

c'mon think about it! pet goat with free goats cheese.

Originally posted by tinajones

c'mon think about it! pet goat with free goats cheese.

Oh right.

Sorry.

My mind is obviously deprived.

I thought....erm.... no lets not go there.

Anyway, the question still stands (if you want the goat or not) - does it make a difference if you change doors?

Nomme

oh god no! you thought i wanted to get all goated-up! gross all that beastyality stuff. just an innocent pet is what i'm on about. mind you loadsa people talk about cars in a sexual way so i'll let you off .

Originally posted by tinajones

oh god no! you thought i wanted to get all goated-up! gross all that beastyality stuff. just an innocent pet is what i'm on about.

:blush:

oooh I am so confused now.

Originally posted by Lindseyw

oooh I am so confused now.

How do you confuse an idiot?

Purple!

mmm.... I have come across this problem before, see

URL Removed

I knew the problem and gave an answer, why do I need to type hundred of word in explaining the solution when I found a website to do it for me?

Mmm... it a case of, don't answer it if you know... if you do not know then have a go.